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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 31,372.23 | 99.4 | 31,184 | +5,893.24 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 41,001.12 | 24.9 | 10,209.28 | +2,198.43 |
| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No | 10,181.86 | 96.2 | 9,789.86 | +2,106.89 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9,611.57 | 98 | 9,419.34 | +1,397.44 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | 14,818.9 | 57.1 | 8,461.59 | −1,949.51 |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?No | 8,259.71 | 93 | 7,681.53 | +3,692.12 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?No | 8,892.21 | 82.5 | 7,336.07 | +1,543.84 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | 6,061.55 | 99.4 | 6,025.18 | +929.81 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 6,606.8 | 89.5 | 5,913.09 | +1,023.93 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6,401.34 | 92 | 5,889.23 | +142.9 |
| Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Yes | 6,421.03 | 86 | 5,522.08 | +405.85 |
| Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Yes | 5,525.56 | 98.2 | 5,426.1 | +530.11 |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes | 6,967.1 | 71 | 4,946.64 | +3,058.01 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | 9,139.89 | 50.6 | 4,629.35 | +3,645.73 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | 4,305.81 | 94.5 | 4,068.99 | +384.93 |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?No | 4,111.64 | 99 | 4,068.47 | +213.14 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 5,433.92 | 72 | 3,912.42 | +452.65 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 5,515.08 | 68.5 | 3,777.83 | +384.61 |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes | 4,067.62 | 91.2 | 3,709.67 | +1,798.11 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 8,091.26 | 45.5 | 3,681.52 | −522.08 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 17,807.34 | 20.5 | 3,650.5 | −1,704.64 |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes | 3,429.03 | 97.2 | 3,333.02 | +759.95 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | 3,350.15 | 98.2 | 3,291.52 | +450.64 |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes | 3,737.26 | 86 | 3,212.17 | +508.86 |
| Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No | 3,285.89 | 97 | 3,188.96 | +636.74 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 155,405.99 | 2 | 3,030.42 | +641.5 |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | 8,999.96 | 33.5 | 3,014.99 | −1,035 |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | 3,245.8 | 90.8 | 2,948.81 | +818.62 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | 3,448.72 | 84.5 | 2,914.17 | +398.24 |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No | 2,915.08 | 95.8 | 2,794.1 | +1,346.48 |
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