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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 31 372,23 | 100 | 31 356,54 | +6 065,78 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 41 001,12 | 25,2 | 10 311,78 | +2 300,94 |
| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No | 10 181,86 | 96,2 | 9 789,86 | +2 106,89 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9 611,57 | 99,2 | 9 534,68 | +1 512,78 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | 14 818,9 | 59,6 | 8 832,06 | −1 579,04 |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?No | 8 259,71 | 93 | 7 681,53 | +3 692,12 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?No | 8 892,21 | 82,5 | 7 336,07 | +1 543,84 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6 510,62 | 94,5 | 6 152,54 | +305,67 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | 6 061,55 | 100 | 6 058,52 | +963,15 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 6 602,26 | 88,5 | 5 843 | +957,2 |
| Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Yes | 6 421,03 | 86,5 | 5 554,19 | +437,96 |
| Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Yes | 5 525,56 | 98,2 | 5 426,1 | +530,11 |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes | 6 967,1 | 70 | 4 876,97 | +2 988,34 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | 9 139,89 | 50,6 | 4 629,35 | +3 645,73 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | 4 305,81 | 94,5 | 4 068,99 | +384,93 |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?No | 4 111,64 | 98,8 | 4 064,35 | +209,03 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 8 091,26 | 48,5 | 3 924,26 | −279,34 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 5 515,08 | 68,5 | 3 777,83 | +384,61 |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes | 4 067,62 | 90,9 | 3 697,47 | +1 785,91 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 17 807,34 | 20,5 | 3 650,5 | −1 704,64 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 5 433,92 | 66 | 3 586,39 | +126,61 |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes | 3 429,03 | 97,1 | 3 329,59 | +756,52 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | 3 350,15 | 98,2 | 3 291,52 | +450,64 |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes | 3 737,26 | 86 | 3 212,17 | +508,86 |
| Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No | 3 285,89 | 97 | 3 187,31 | +635,1 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 155 405,99 | 2 | 3 030,42 | +641,5 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | 3 448,72 | 87,5 | 3 017,63 | +501,7 |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | 8 999,96 | 33,5 | 3 014,99 | −1 035 |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | 3 245,8 | 90,6 | 2 939,07 | +808,88 |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No | 2 915,08 | 97,2 | 2 834,91 | +1 387,29 |
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