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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 31.372,23 | 99,6 | 31.262,43 | +5.971,67 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 41.001,12 | 25,2 | 10.311,78 | +2.300,94 |
| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No | 10.181,86 | 96,2 | 9.789,86 | +2.106,89 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9.611,57 | 99 | 9.510,65 | +1.488,75 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | 14.818,9 | 59,3 | 8.787,6 | −1.623,5 |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?No | 8.259,71 | 93 | 7.681,53 | +3.692,12 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?No | 8.892,21 | 82,5 | 7.336,07 | +1.543,84 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6.401,34 | 95 | 6.081,27 | +334,94 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | 6.061,55 | 99,5 | 6.031,24 | +935,88 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 6.602,26 | 88,5 | 5.843 | +957,2 |
| Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Yes | 6.421,03 | 85,5 | 5.489,98 | +373,75 |
| Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Yes | 5.525,56 | 98,2 | 5.426,1 | +530,11 |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes | 6.967,1 | 70 | 4.876,97 | +2.988,34 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | 9.139,89 | 50,6 | 4.629,35 | +3.645,73 |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?No | 4.111,64 | 99 | 4.072,58 | +217,25 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | 4.305,81 | 94,5 | 4.068,99 | +384,93 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 8.091,26 | 47,5 | 3.843,35 | −360,25 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 5.515,08 | 68,5 | 3.777,83 | +384,61 |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes | 4.067,62 | 90,9 | 3.697,47 | +1.785,91 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 17.807,34 | 20,5 | 3.650,5 | −1.704,64 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 5.433,92 | 67 | 3.640,73 | +180,95 |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes | 3.429,03 | 97,1 | 3.329,59 | +756,52 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | 3.350,15 | 98,2 | 3.291,52 | +450,64 |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes | 3.737,26 | 86 | 3.212,17 | +508,86 |
| Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No | 3.285,89 | 97 | 3.187,31 | +635,1 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 155.405,99 | 2 | 3.030,42 | +641,5 |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | 8.999,96 | 33,5 | 3.014,99 | −1.035 |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | 3.245,8 | 92,2 | 2.991 | +860,81 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | 3.448,72 | 86,5 | 2.983,14 | +467,21 |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No | 2.915,08 | 97 | 2.829,08 | +1.381,46 |
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