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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mali win on 2026-10-03?No | 335,08 | 99,3 | 332,73 | +2,28 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-10-03?No | 335,07 | 99,2 | 332,56 | +0,95 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | 697,55 | 21 | 146,48 | −31,02 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 165,83 | 83,5 | 138,47 | +11,49 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | 172,14 | 53,7 | 92,44 | +12,36 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 120 | 71,8 | 86,1 | +82,35 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No | 71,63 | 98 | 70,2 | −0,36 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?No | 39,43 | 98,2 | 38,72 | +0,2 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1?No | 39,87 | 94,7 | 37,76 | +1,71 |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No | 25,29 | 95 | 24,01 | +0,07 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 68 | 27,5 | 18,7 | +16,57 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 588 | 2,8 | 16,17 | −67,83 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 154,83 | 8,1 | 12,54 | −7,66 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 28 | 43 | 12,04 | +10,57 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No | 13,02 | 85,5 | 11,13 | +3,59 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?No | 32,53 | 27,5 | 8,95 | −1,2 |
| Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?No | 9,56 | 87 | 8,32 | +1,72 |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-10-06?Yes | 410 | 1,6 | 6,76 | −129,9 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 587,58 | 1,2 | 6,76 | −38,86 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 588 | 1,1 | 6,47 | −77,53 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 76,94 | 7,5 | 5,77 | −3,44 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 1?Yes | 115,51 | 4,4 | 5,08 | −3,31 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 588 | 0,8 | 5 | −79 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?No | 6,19 | 72,5 | 4,49 | +0,59 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?No | 61,81 | 5,5 | 3,4 | −4,49 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?No | 152,57 | 2,2 | 3,36 | −5,8 |
| Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?No | 336,08 | 0,9 | 3,02 | −3,9 |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Yes | 10 | 29,6 | 2,96 | −0,14 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 588 | 0,5 | 2,94 | −81,06 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?No | 30,75 | 8,5 | 2,61 | −0,77 |
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