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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-10-03?No | 268,41 | 99,2 | 266,4 | +1,25 |
| Will Mali win on 2026-10-03?No | 268,41 | 99,2 | 266,26 | +1,48 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | 697,55 | 22,5 | 156,95 | −20,56 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 165,83 | 83 | 137,64 | +10,66 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | 172,14 | 53,4 | 91,84 | +11,76 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 120 | 71,4 | 85,68 | +81,93 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No | 71,63 | 98 | 70,2 | −0,36 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 1?Yes | 169,6 | 15,4 | 26,03 | +13,71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 99,8 | 25,6 | −0,02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on October 2?No | 25,65 | 99,8 | 25,59 | −0,04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on October 2?No | 25,65 | 99,4 | 25,48 | −0,12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 98,2 | 25,18 | −0,18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 97,6 | 25,02 | +0,14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 94,9 | 24,34 | −0,38 |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No | 25,29 | 94,9 | 24 | +0,06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 89,5 | 22,96 | +1,92 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?Yes | 23,71 | 84 | 19,92 | +0,41 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 68 | 27,5 | 18,7 | +16,57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 64,5 | 16,54 | +2,44 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 588 | 2,8 | 16,46 | −67,54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?No | 25,65 | 59,5 | 15,26 | −2,28 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 154,83 | 8,1 | 12,54 | −7,66 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 28 | 42,5 | 11,9 | +10,43 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No | 13,02 | 84,5 | 11 | +3,46 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?No | 32,53 | 27,5 | 8,95 | −1,2 |
| Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?No | 9,56 | 85,5 | 8,17 | +1,58 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 587,58 | 1,2 | 7,34 | −38,28 |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-10-06?Yes | 410 | 1,8 | 7,17 | −129,49 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 588 | 1,1 | 6,47 | −77,53 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 76,94 | 7,5 | 5,77 | −3,44 |
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