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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 36,100.79 | 84.5 | 30,505.17 | +28,011.11 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | 15,323.14 | 88 | 13,484.36 | +8,371.58 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 12,102.45 | 98.2 | 11,878.56 | +7,197.09 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 15,896.34 | 70.5 | 11,206.92 | +846.97 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 10,000 | 100 | 9,995 | +1,295 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 21,657.76 | 41.2 | 8,912.17 | +4,912.18 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 8,916.03 | 99.3 | 8,853.62 | +1,491.26 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 10,468.81 | 78.5 | 8,218.01 | +96.03 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 8,624.74 | 86.5 | 7,460.4 | +3,887.73 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 10,794.22 | 68.5 | 7,394.04 | +87.36 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 9,936.54 | 59.5 | 5,912.24 | +49.69 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 7,094.07 | 79 | 5,604.32 | +922.23 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 6,165.94 | 89.5 | 5,518.52 | +439.53 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 4,386.81 | 96.1 | 4,215.73 | +1,762.73 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | 5,671.26 | 73.5 | 4,168.38 | +436.12 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 4,954.13 | 75.5 | 3,740.36 | +185.42 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 7,602.33 | 39.5 | 3,002.92 | +294.56 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 3,075 | 93.5 | 2,875.12 | +169.12 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 3,157.3 | 89.5 | 2,825.78 | +216.28 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 2,838.64 | 86 | 2,441.23 | +541.83 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 2,706.73 | 89.2 | 2,414.4 | +2,414.4 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 2,625.43 | 85 | 2,231.62 | +761.37 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | 1,853.38 | 96.6 | 1,790.36 | +21.37 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | 2,085.58 | 73.5 | 1,532.9 | +174.66 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | 1,105.51 | 89.5 | 989.43 | +163.1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 970.95 | 100 | 970.95 | +321.76 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 880.71 | 92 | 810.25 | +85.38 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 663.51 | 91.5 | 607.11 | +91.98 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 603.11 | 99.7 | 601.3 | +154.38 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 632.11 | 87 | 549.94 | +133.33 |
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