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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 36.100,79 | 84,5 | 30.505,17 | +28.011,11 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | 15.323,14 | 86,5 | 13.254,52 | +8.141,74 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 12.102,45 | 100 | 12.102,45 | +7.420,98 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 15.896,34 | 72,5 | 11.524,85 | +1.164,9 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 10.000 | 100 | 10.000 | +1.300 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 8.916,03 | 100 | 8.916,03 | +1.553,67 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 15.165,23 | 58,5 | 8.871,66 | −75,81 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 21.657,76 | 40,6 | 8.803,88 | +4.803,89 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 10.468,81 | 80 | 8.375,05 | +253,06 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 10.794,22 | 71,5 | 7.717,86 | +411,19 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 8.624,74 | 86,5 | 7.460,4 | +3.887,73 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 7.094,07 | 83 | 5.888,08 | +1.205,99 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 6.165,94 | 89,5 | 5.518,52 | +439,53 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 4.386,81 | 96,2 | 4.217,92 | +1.764,92 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | 5.671,26 | 73,5 | 4.168,38 | +436,12 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 4.954,13 | 75,5 | 3.740,36 | +185,42 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 7.602,33 | 39,5 | 3.002,92 | +294,56 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 3.075 | 96,4 | 2.965,84 | +259,84 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 3.157,3 | 90 | 2.841,57 | +232,07 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 2.838,64 | 89,5 | 2.540,58 | +641,19 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 2.706,73 | 89,3 | 2.417,11 | +2.417,11 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 2.625,43 | 85 | 2.231,62 | +761,37 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | 1.853,38 | 100 | 1.853,38 | +84,38 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | 2.085,58 | 73,5 | 1.532,9 | +174,66 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | 1.105,51 | 89 | 983,91 | +157,57 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 970,95 | 100 | 970,95 | +321,76 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 880,71 | 92 | 810,25 | +85,38 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 663,51 | 91,5 | 607,11 | +91,98 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 603,11 | 100 | 603,11 | +156,18 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 632,11 | 87 | 549,94 | +133,33 |
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