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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 36 100,79 | 84,5 | 30 505,17 | +28 011,11 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | 15 323,14 | 86,5 | 13 254,52 | +8 141,74 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 12 102,45 | 100 | 12 102,45 | +7 420,98 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 15 896,34 | 72,5 | 11 524,85 | +1 164,9 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 10 000 | 100 | 10 000 | +1 300 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 8 916,03 | 100 | 8 916,03 | +1 553,67 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 15 165,23 | 58,5 | 8 871,66 | −75,81 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 21 657,76 | 40,6 | 8 803,88 | +4 803,89 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 10 468,81 | 80 | 8 375,05 | +253,06 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 10 794,22 | 71,5 | 7 717,86 | +411,19 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 8 624,74 | 86,5 | 7 460,4 | +3 887,73 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 7 094,07 | 83 | 5 888,08 | +1 205,99 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 6 165,94 | 89,5 | 5 518,52 | +439,53 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 4 386,81 | 96,2 | 4 217,92 | +1 764,92 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | 5 671,26 | 73,5 | 4 168,38 | +436,12 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 4 954,13 | 75,5 | 3 740,36 | +185,42 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 7 602,33 | 39,5 | 3 002,92 | +294,56 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 3 075 | 96,4 | 2 965,84 | +259,84 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 3 157,3 | 90 | 2 841,57 | +232,07 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 2 838,64 | 89,5 | 2 540,58 | +641,19 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 2 706,73 | 89,3 | 2 417,11 | +2 417,11 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 2 625,43 | 85 | 2 231,62 | +761,37 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | 1 853,38 | 100 | 1 853,38 | +84,38 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | 2 085,58 | 73,5 | 1 532,9 | +174,66 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | 1 105,51 | 89 | 983,91 | +157,57 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 970,95 | 100 | 970,95 | +321,76 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 880,71 | 92 | 810,25 | +85,38 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 663,51 | 91,5 | 607,11 | +91,98 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 603,11 | 100 | 603,11 | +156,18 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 632,11 | 87 | 549,94 | +133,33 |
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