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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 285,170.7 | 93.5 | 266,634.6 | +55,043.65 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 651,441.21 | 32.5 | 211,718.39 | −87,045.28 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | 74,140.88 | 97.4 | 72,250.29 | +5,169.54 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 75,667.64 | 66.5 | 50,318.98 | +10,776.54 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 50,885.14 | 91.5 | 46,559.9 | +1,781.08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | 27,158.38 | 94.5 | 25,664.67 | +3,195.24 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 39,226.02 | 58.6 | 23,006.06 | −1,569.9 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 6,560.39 | 92.5 | 6,068.36 | +295.23 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5,117.24 | 62.5 | 3,198.28 | +718.62 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 36,833.88 | 6.5 | 2,394.2 | −11,431.81 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 6,034.2 | 29.5 | 1,780.09 | −378.28 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1,509.49 | 81 | 1,222.69 | −181.14 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | 1,160.74 | 97.2 | 1,127.66 | +71.68 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 6,741.11 | 4.9 | 330.31 | −546.02 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | 161.92 | 34.6 | 55.94 | −49.56 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 0.17 | 85.5 | 0.15 | +0.02 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | 10,000 | 0 | 0 | −4,200 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | 2,431.06 | 0 | 0 | −656.39 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 924.73 | 0 | 0 | −166.55 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | 43,504.26 | 0 | 0 | −516.05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | 181,802.27 | 0 | 0 | −88,011.02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 1,422.69 | 0 | 0 | −121.07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | 1,758 | 0 | 0 | −928.13 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | 11,011.62 | 0 | 0 | −3,606.9 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | 219,663.59 | 0 | 0 | −4,612.94 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | 32,313.42 | 0 | 0 | −20,031.93 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | 1,625.97 | 0 | 0 | −655.61 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | 2,501.86 | 0 | 0 | −196.06 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | 5,217.47 | 0 | 0 | −626.1 |
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