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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 285 170,7 | 93,5 | 266 634,6 | +55 043,65 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 651 441,21 | 33,5 | 218 232,8 | −80 530,86 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | 74 140,88 | 97,4 | 72 176,15 | +5 095,4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 75 667,64 | 65,5 | 49 562,3 | +10 019,86 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 50 885,14 | 91,5 | 46 559,9 | +1 781,08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | 27 158,38 | 94,5 | 25 664,67 | +3 195,24 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 39 226,02 | 59,2 | 23 241,42 | −1 334,55 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 6 560,39 | 92,5 | 6 068,36 | +295,23 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5 117,24 | 62,5 | 3 198,28 | +718,62 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 36 833,88 | 5,5 | 2 025,86 | −11 800,15 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 6 034,2 | 27,5 | 1 659,4 | −498,97 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1 509,49 | 79,5 | 1 200,04 | −203,78 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | 1 160,74 | 97,2 | 1 127,66 | +71,68 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 6 741,11 | 4,8 | 326,94 | −549,39 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | 161,92 | 34,6 | 55,94 | −49,56 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 0,17 | 86,5 | 0,15 | +0,02 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | 10 000 | 0 | 0 | −4 200 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | 2 431,06 | 0 | 0 | −656,39 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | 0,14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 924,73 | 0 | 0 | −166,55 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | 43 504,26 | 0 | 0 | −516,05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | 181 802,27 | 0 | 0 | −88 011,02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 1 422,69 | 0 | 0 | −121,07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | 1 758 | 0 | 0 | −928,13 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | 11 011,62 | 0 | 0 | −3 606,9 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | 219 663,59 | 0 | 0 | −4 612,94 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | 32 313,42 | 0 | 0 | −20 031,93 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | 1 625,97 | 0 | 0 | −655,61 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | 2 501,86 | 0 | 0 | −196,06 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | 5 217,47 | 0 | 0 | −626,1 |
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