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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 285.170,7 | 93,5 | 266.634,6 | +55.043,65 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 651.441,21 | 33,5 | 218.232,8 | −80.530,86 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | 74.140,88 | 97,4 | 72.250,29 | +5.169,54 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 75.667,64 | 65,5 | 49.562,3 | +10.019,86 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 50.885,14 | 91,5 | 46.559,9 | +1.781,08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | 27.158,38 | 94,5 | 25.664,67 | +3.195,24 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 39.226,02 | 59,1 | 23.182,58 | −1.393,39 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 6.560,39 | 92,5 | 6.068,36 | +295,23 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5.117,24 | 62,5 | 3.198,28 | +718,62 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 36.833,88 | 6,5 | 2.394,2 | −11.431,81 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 6.034,2 | 28,5 | 1.719,75 | −438,63 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.509,49 | 79 | 1.192,5 | −211,33 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | 1.160,74 | 97,2 | 1.127,66 | +71,68 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 6.741,11 | 4,9 | 330,31 | −546,02 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | 161,92 | 34,6 | 56,02 | −49,48 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 0,17 | 86,5 | 0,15 | +0,02 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | 10.000 | 0 | 0 | −4.200 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | 2.431,06 | 0 | 0 | −656,39 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | 0,14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 924,73 | 0 | 0 | −166,55 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | 43.504,26 | 0 | 0 | −516,05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | 181.802,27 | 0 | 0 | −88.011,02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 1.422,69 | 0 | 0 | −121,07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | 1.758 | 0 | 0 | −928,13 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | 11.011,62 | 0 | 0 | −3.606,9 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | 219.663,59 | 0 | 0 | −4.612,94 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | 32.313,42 | 0 | 0 | −20.031,93 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | 1.625,97 | 0 | 0 | −655,61 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | 2.501,86 | 0 | 0 | −196,06 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | 5.217,47 | 0 | 0 | −626,1 |
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