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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 3.739 | 97 | 3.624,96 | +236,84 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 2.596,11 | 99,2 | 2.576,64 | +1.613,87 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 2.605 | 96,6 | 2.515,13 | +152,39 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 2.450,43 | 99,6 | 2.439,41 | +256,45 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | 2.475,64 | 96,3 | 2.384,04 | +42,31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No | 2.356,55 | 100 | 2.355,37 | +1.914,7 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 2.334,34 | 99,6 | 2.326,17 | +286,64 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | 2.305 | 97,4 | 2.246,22 | +28,81 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?No | 2.224,01 | 100 | 2.222,9 | +105,64 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2.297,07 | 95,7 | 2.198,3 | +935,53 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No | 2.483 | 88,5 | 2.197,45 | +418,22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No | 2.057,5 | 100 | 2.056,47 | +46,74 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 1.913 | 89,5 | 1.712,13 | +181,73 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No | 1.709,09 | 100 | 1.708,23 | +144,01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 1.507,15 | 100 | 1.506,4 | +72,74 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | 1.572,28 | 95,5 | 1.501,52 | +223,1 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 2.149,15 | 69,5 | 1.493,66 | +926,27 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1.401,8 | 99 | 1.388,48 | +20,33 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 1.375,4 | 99,8 | 1.371,96 | +61,11 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | 1.405,11 | 96,8 | 1.360,15 | +149,64 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 1.325,92 | 99,4 | 1.317,3 | +42,21 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | 1.289,77 | 99,5 | 1.283,32 | +92,59 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | 1.282,96 | 100 | 1.282,32 | +47,4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | 1.280,07 | 100 | 1.279,43 | +59,65 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | 1.320 | 95,5 | 1.260,6 | +864,6 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No | 1.307,38 | 95,8 | 1.252,47 | +73,21 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1.459 | 83,5 | 1.218,27 | +94,84 |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?No | 1.235,89 | 98,4 | 1.216,11 | +66,46 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1.236,15 | 98,2 | 1.214,51 | +12,19 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 1.557 | 77,5 | 1.206,67 | +54,49 |
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