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Proches au classement: #651 Noob12345 #652 nerongod #653 tnauqkugnah #654 0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 #655 0x4815162342 #657 SeniorLaghetto #658 LucasMeow #659 mooseytunes0 #660 murgionsek #661 033033033
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 3 739 | 97 | 3 628,7 | +240,57 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 2 605 | 97,1 | 2 529,45 | +166,72 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | 2 475,64 | 96,6 | 2 390,23 | +48,5 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | 2 305 | 97,4 | 2 246,22 | +28,81 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2 297,07 | 95,8 | 2 201,74 | +938,97 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No | 2 483 | 88,5 | 2 197,45 | +418,22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 1 883 | 90,5 | 1 704,12 | +197,71 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 2 149,15 | 70,5 | 1 515,15 | +947,76 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | 1 572,28 | 95,5 | 1 501,52 | +223,1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1 401,8 | 99 | 1 388,48 | +20,33 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | 1 405,11 | 96,8 | 1 360,15 | +149,64 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 1 325,92 | 99,6 | 1 319,95 | +44,86 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No | 1 307,38 | 96,6 | 1 262,28 | +83,02 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | 1 320 | 95,5 | 1 260,6 | +864,6 |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?No | 1 235,89 | 98,4 | 1 216,11 | +66,46 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1 439 | 84,5 | 1 215,95 | +107,92 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 1 557 | 77,5 | 1 206,67 | +54,49 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1 216,15 | 98,6 | 1 198,51 | +15,64 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | 1 242,13 | 94,5 | 1 173,81 | +563,17 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | 1 268,97 | 90,5 | 1 148,42 | +503,88 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 1 364,19 | 83 | 1 132,28 | +859,22 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 1 184,05 | 95,2 | 1 126,62 | +20,57 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | 1 202,77 | 93,4 | 1 123,99 | +28,92 |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | 4 299,71 | 25,1 | 1 079,23 | −226,15 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | 1 145,26 | 92,5 | 1 059,36 | +185,47 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | 1 187,53 | 86,5 | 1 027,21 | +560,48 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 1 317,35 | 77,5 | 1 020,94 | +704,74 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 1 094,7 | 92,5 | 1 012,6 | +663,95 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 1 055,36 | 95,7 | 1 009,98 | −6,03 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 998,96 | 99,8 | 996,47 | +148,92 |
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