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Proches au classement: #289 tbs8t #290 IQdegen #291 0x2E9821a4234AG3 #292 GayPride #293 Finubar #295 0x8a3aB8120807bD64a3De48695110e390fa2ceB9a-1771005965025 #296 022221 #297 pessibye #298 keasiyo #299 Mind.The.Gap
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 66 930,36 | 71,5 | 47 855,21 | +6 566,94 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 18 803,99 | 99,8 | 18 775,79 | +2 784,93 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 20 000 | 62,5 | 12 500 | +300 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 21 379,37 | 40,8 | 8 733,47 | +1 858,68 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | 45 601,68 | 16,5 | 7 524,28 | −15 513,46 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 21 231,49 | 16,5 | 3 503,2 | −67,45 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 11 681,25 | 23,5 | 2 745,09 | −429,65 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 32 928,6 | 7,5 | 2 469,64 | −493,93 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | 20 028,27 | 11,5 | 2 303,25 | −664,78 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 9 907,74 | 17 | 1 684,32 | −192,75 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 16 468,27 | 9,5 | 1 564,49 | −944,36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | 40 050,58 | 3,9 | 1 561,97 | −27 136,96 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 9 108,06 | 15,5 | 1 411,75 | −166,89 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | 2 295,79 | 52,5 | 1 205,29 | −423,65 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | 37 359,77 | 2,9 | 1 083,43 | −2 554,62 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 1 906,73 | 27 | 514,82 | −146 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 6 520,76 | 0,6 | 35,86 | −22,82 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9 414,17 | 0 | 4,71 | −1 968,14 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | 60 | 0,6 | 0,39 | −29,01 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 0,19 | 96,8 | 0,19 | +0,16 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 0,17 | 22,5 | 0,04 | −0,03 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | 526,46 | 0 | 0 | −17,37 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | 8 695,07 | 0 | 0 | −3 479,14 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?No | 2 132,15 | 0 | 0 | −837,84 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | 217 898,91 | 0 | 0 | −10 894,95 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | 1 439 | 0 | 0 | −201,46 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | 84 440,87 | 0 | 0 | −26 770,29 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 205 136,46 | 0 | 0 | −24 752,18 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?Yes | 1 004,99 | 0 | 0 | −122,96 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | 1 152 446,21 | 0 | 0 | −151 739,13 |
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