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Perto no ranking: #289 tbs8t #290 IQdegen #291 0x2E9821a4234AG3 #292 GayPride #293 Finubar #295 0x8a3aB8120807bD64a3De48695110e390fa2ceB9a-1771005965025 #296 022221 #297 pessibye #298 keasiyo #299 Mind.The.Gap
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 66.930,36 | 70,5 | 47.185,9 | +5.897,64 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 18.803,99 | 99,7 | 18.747,58 | +2.756,72 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 20.000 | 62,5 | 12.500 | +300 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 21.379,37 | 41 | 8.754,85 | +1.880,06 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | 45.601,68 | 16,5 | 7.524,28 | −15.513,46 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 21.231,49 | 16,5 | 3.503,2 | −67,45 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 32.928,6 | 8,5 | 2.798,93 | −164,64 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 11.681,25 | 23,5 | 2.745,09 | −429,65 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | 20.028,27 | 11,5 | 2.303,25 | −664,78 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 9.907,74 | 17 | 1.684,32 | −192,75 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 16.468,27 | 9,5 | 1.564,49 | −944,36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | 40.050,58 | 3,9 | 1.561,97 | −27.136,96 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 9.108,06 | 15,5 | 1.411,75 | −166,89 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | 2.295,79 | 52,5 | 1.205,29 | −423,65 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | 37.359,77 | 2,1 | 784,55 | −2.853,5 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 1.906,73 | 27 | 514,82 | −146 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 6.520,76 | 0,6 | 35,86 | −22,82 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9.414,17 | 0 | 4,71 | −1.968,14 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | 60 | 0,6 | 0,39 | −29,01 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 0,19 | 96,8 | 0,19 | +0,16 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 0,17 | 22,5 | 0,04 | −0,03 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | 526,46 | 0 | 0 | −17,37 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | 8.695,07 | 0 | 0 | −3.479,14 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?No | 2.132,15 | 0 | 0 | −837,84 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | 217.898,91 | 0 | 0 | −10.894,95 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | 1.439 | 0 | 0 | −201,46 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | 84.440,87 | 0 | 0 | −26.770,29 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 205.136,46 | 0 | 0 | −24.752,18 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?Yes | 1.004,99 | 0 | 0 | −122,96 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | 1.152.446,21 | 0 | 0 | −151.739,13 |
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