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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 50,000 | 91 | 45,525 | +20,525 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 11,551.68 | 91.5 | 10,569.79 | +350.39 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 50,000 | 9 | 4,475 | −20,525 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | 4,197.13 | 91.4 | 3,836.18 | +385.58 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | 3,786.03 | 99.2 | 3,757.63 | +109.47 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | 2,048.68 | 98.4 | 2,014.88 | +49.98 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 1,837.02 | 100 | 1,836.1 | +7.47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 2,000 | 85.5 | 1,710 | +46.67 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | 1,469.53 | 97.4 | 1,430.59 | +5.14 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 1,822.09 | 77.5 | 1,412.12 | +88.34 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | 1,000 | 97.4 | 974.5 | +6.5 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | 1,000 | 94.5 | 945 | +20 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | 865.29 | 96.2 | 831.97 | +88.1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | 785.52 | 97.8 | 768.63 | +15.07 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | 752.76 | 77.5 | 583.39 | −1.62 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | 523.89 | 99.8 | 523.1 | +26.37 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?No | 374.48 | 99.2 | 371.3 | +1.81 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | 345.13 | 99.4 | 343.23 | +11.91 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | 266.5 | 97.6 | 259.97 | +17.38 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?No | 319.54 | 78 | 249.24 | −22.05 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | 243.91 | 98.2 | 239.64 | +6.22 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | 288.15 | 79.6 | 229.51 | −25.8 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 203 | 99.1 | 201.17 | +11.22 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No | 153.77 | 98.1 | 150.85 | +11.79 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 149.18 | 100 | 149.11 | +2.76 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 143.05 | 99.3 | 142.05 | +3.3 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?No | 141.47 | 100 | 141.4 | +1.11 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | 118.18 | 99 | 117.05 | +13.35 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | 167.61 | 68 | 113.97 | −11.08 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | 100 | 96.5 | 96.5 | +1.5 |
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