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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 360,015.12 | 60.6 | 217,989.16 | +53,128.18 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 63,356.86 | 61.5 | 38,964.47 | +9,314.31 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 20,369.31 | 89.5 | 18,230.53 | +2,111.44 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 14,289.2 | 99.8 | 14,267.77 | +2,464.34 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 19,403.11 | 71.5 | 13,873.22 | −2,200.45 |
| Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 13,058.97 | 91 | 11,883.66 | +87.93 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | 12,689.29 | 76 | 9,643.86 | −939.91 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 11,150.12 | 83 | 9,254.6 | +141.62 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes | 9,720.15 | 92.6 | 8,996 | +234.29 |
| Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 9,695.68 | 92.6 | 8,973.36 | −22.3 |
| Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 9,539.98 | 81.2 | 7,741.69 | −80.54 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6,753.23 | 91.5 | 6,179.2 | −8.39 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 6,164.66 | 91.5 | 5,640.66 | +57.67 |
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | 6,056.93 | 86 | 5,208.96 | +144.97 |
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Yes | 5,642.1 | 92 | 5,190.73 | +153.74 |
| Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 4,476.19 | 93.3 | 4,176.29 | −53.71 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4,121.18 | 87 | 3,585.43 | +281.94 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4,109.59 | 79.5 | 3,267.12 | +267.13 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 3,083.21 | 95.8 | 2,955.26 | +1,201.58 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 3,539.82 | 76 | 2,690.26 | −362.69 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 3,049.4 | 84 | 2,561.49 | +71.5 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | 3,977.34 | 57.5 | 2,286.97 | +515.96 |
| Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Yes | 2,106.23 | 86.5 | 1,821.89 | +79.84 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes | 1,851.99 | 96.4 | 1,784.39 | +147.31 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes | 1,280.37 | 93.5 | 1,197.14 | +228.17 |
| Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes | 1,773.09 | 54.5 | 966.34 | +183.34 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No | 888.02 | 99.4 | 883.13 | +100.33 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential elNo | 979.07 | 89.7 | 878.23 | +36.23 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | 912.22 | 96.1 | 876.65 | +363.76 |
| Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?No | 898.52 | 89.2 | 801.93 | +141.06 |
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