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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 360 015,12 | 61,8 | 222 309,34 | +57 448,36 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 63 356,86 | 61,5 | 38 964,47 | +9 314,31 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 29 414,15 | 71,5 | 21 031,12 | −1 914,32 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 20 369,31 | 89,5 | 18 230,53 | +2 111,44 |
| Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 13 854,71 | 92,5 | 12 815,61 | +271,88 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | 12 276,26 | 77,5 | 9 514,1 | −725,17 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes | 9 896,83 | 94,9 | 9 392,09 | +462,39 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 11 150,12 | 83 | 9 254,6 | +141,62 |
| Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 9 755,97 | 94,6 | 9 229,15 | +175,5 |
| Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 10 695,02 | 82,8 | 8 850,13 | +27,91 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6 812,37 | 94,5 | 6 437,69 | +195,1 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 6 909,56 | 90,5 | 6 253,15 | +468,1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 6 164,66 | 92,5 | 5 702,31 | +119,32 |
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Yes | 5 671,57 | 94 | 5 331,28 | +266,29 |
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | 6 056,93 | 87 | 5 269,53 | +205,54 |
| Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 4 476,19 | 96,2 | 4 308,33 | +78,34 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4 109,59 | 78,5 | 3 226,03 | +226,03 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 3 083,21 | 96 | 2 961,42 | +1 207,75 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 3 539,82 | 81 | 2 867,26 | −185,7 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 3 049,4 | 84 | 2 561,49 | +71,5 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | 3 977,34 | 57,5 | 2 286,97 | +515,96 |
| Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Yes | 2 106,23 | 86 | 1 811,36 | +69,31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?No | 1 855,67 | 96,8 | 1 795,36 | −4,64 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes | 1 851,99 | 96 | 1 778,84 | +141,76 |
| Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?No | 1 803,34 | 92 | 1 659,07 | +181,21 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes | 1 280,37 | 95 | 1 216,35 | +247,37 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential elNo | 1 107,43 | 91,2 | 1 009,42 | +49,43 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 1 051,06 | 93,5 | 982,74 | −5,25 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No | 888,02 | 99,4 | 883,13 | +100,33 |
| Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes | 1 744,56 | 50 | 872,28 | +281,28 |
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