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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 360.015,12 | 61,2 | 220.509,26 | +55.648,29 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 63.356,86 | 61,5 | 38.964,47 | +9.314,31 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 20.369,31 | 89,5 | 18.230,53 | +2.111,44 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 19.403,11 | 67,5 | 13.097,1 | −2.976,58 |
| Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 13.058,97 | 92,5 | 12.079,54 | +283,81 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | 12.276,26 | 77,5 | 9.514,1 | −725,17 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes | 9.896,83 | 94,7 | 9.372,3 | +442,6 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 11.150,12 | 83 | 9.254,6 | +141,62 |
| Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 9.755,97 | 94,2 | 9.195,01 | +141,36 |
| Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 10.695,02 | 84,2 | 9.005,21 | +182,98 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6.812,37 | 95,5 | 6.505,81 | +263,22 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 6.909,56 | 91 | 6.287,7 | +502,65 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 6.164,66 | 92,5 | 5.702,31 | +119,32 |
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Yes | 5.642,1 | 93,5 | 5.275,36 | +238,37 |
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | 6.056,93 | 87 | 5.269,53 | +205,54 |
| Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 4.476,19 | 96,4 | 4.317,29 | +87,29 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4.109,59 | 79 | 3.246,58 | +246,58 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 3.539,82 | 84 | 2.973,45 | −79,5 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 3.083,21 | 95,6 | 2.947,55 | +1.193,87 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 3.049,4 | 84 | 2.561,49 | +71,5 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | 3.977,34 | 57,5 | 2.286,97 | +515,96 |
| Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Yes | 2.106,23 | 86 | 1.811,36 | +69,31 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes | 1.851,99 | 96,6 | 1.788,1 | +151,02 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes | 1.280,37 | 95 | 1.216,35 | +247,37 |
| Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes | 1.744,56 | 57,5 | 1.003,12 | +412,12 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential elNo | 979,07 | 90,4 | 885,08 | +43,08 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No | 888,02 | 99,4 | 883,13 | +100,33 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | 872,22 | 96,3 | 839,95 | +349,55 |
| Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?No | 898,52 | 84 | 755,21 | +94,34 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | 737,17 | 95,5 | 704 | +89 |
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