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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 13,604.96 | 59.5 | 8,094.95 | +455.74 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 10,000 | 72.5 | 7,250 | +750 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 8,836.16 | 60.5 | 5,345.88 | +486 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 12,315.54 | 40.2 | 4,950.85 | −111.76 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 25,016.71 | 18.5 | 4,628.09 | +1,625.41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 3,503.93 | 72.5 | 2,540.35 | +35.59 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | 3,813.88 | 61 | 2,326.46 | +190.71 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 4,000 | 41.5 | 1,660 | −100 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 1,557.04 | 97 | 1,511.11 | +55.28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 2,500 | 59 | 1,475 | +70 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No | 2,000 | 64.5 | 1,290 | −270 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3,269.99 | 38.5 | 1,258.94 | +16.38 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 4,388.99 | 21.5 | 943.63 | −197.5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2,048.23 | 38.5 | 788.57 | +10.24 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1,097.69 | 70.9 | 778.26 | −13.8 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 611.35 | 91.5 | 559.39 | +64.19 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | 3,421.98 | 12.6 | 432.88 | −42.68 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 400 | 97.8 | 391.4 | +67.4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | 565.11 | 60.5 | 341.89 | +28.2 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 2,000 | 16.5 | 330 | +130 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 2,999.99 | 10 | 300 | −90 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 2,096.97 | 13.5 | 283.09 | +9.3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 4,000 | 6.5 | 260 | −100 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 600 | 42.5 | 255 | −9 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?Yes | 997.34 | 17.5 | 174.53 | +75.3 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 604.19 | 23.5 | 141.98 | −148.03 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 778.14 | 14 | 108.94 | −124.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 3,517.53 | 3 | 105.53 | −70.35 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?No | 1,699.99 | 5 | 85 | −186 |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | 103.52 | 45 | 46.58 | −24.84 |
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