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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 13 604,96 | 59,5 | 8 094,95 | +455,74 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 10 000 | 72,5 | 7 250 | +750 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 8 836,16 | 60,5 | 5 345,88 | +486 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 12 315,54 | 40,2 | 4 950,85 | −111,76 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 25 016,71 | 18,5 | 4 628,09 | +1 625,41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 3 503,93 | 72,5 | 2 540,35 | +35,59 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | 3 813,88 | 61 | 2 326,46 | +190,71 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 4 000 | 41,5 | 1 660 | −100 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 1 557,04 | 97 | 1 511,11 | +55,28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 2 500 | 59 | 1 475 | +70 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No | 2 000 | 64,5 | 1 290 | −270 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3 269,99 | 38,5 | 1 258,94 | +16,38 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 4 388,99 | 21,5 | 943,63 | −197,5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2 048,23 | 38,5 | 788,57 | +10,24 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1 097,69 | 70,9 | 778,26 | −13,8 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 611,35 | 91,5 | 559,39 | +64,19 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | 3 421,98 | 12,6 | 432,88 | −42,68 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 400 | 97,8 | 391,4 | +67,4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | 565,11 | 60,5 | 341,89 | +28,2 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 2 000 | 16,5 | 330 | +130 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 2 999,99 | 10 | 300 | −90 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 2 096,97 | 13,5 | 283,09 | +9,3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 4 000 | 6,5 | 260 | −100 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 600 | 42,5 | 255 | −9 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?Yes | 997,34 | 17,5 | 174,53 | +75,3 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 604,19 | 23,5 | 141,98 | −148,03 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 778,14 | 14 | 108,94 | −124,5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 3 517,53 | 3 | 105,53 | −70,35 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?No | 1 699,99 | 5 | 85 | −186 |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | 103,52 | 45 | 46,58 | −24,84 |
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