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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 13.604,96 | 58,5 | 7.958,9 | +319,69 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 10.000 | 71,5 | 7.150 | +650 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 12.315,54 | 42,6 | 5.246,42 | +183,81 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 8.836,16 | 58,5 | 5.169,15 | +309,27 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 25.016,71 | 18,5 | 4.628,09 | +1.625,41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 3.503,93 | 76,5 | 2.680,51 | +175,75 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | 3.813,88 | 61,5 | 2.345,53 | +209,78 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 4.000 | 41,5 | 1.660 | −100 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 1.557,04 | 97 | 1.511,11 | +55,28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 2.500 | 59,5 | 1.487,5 | +82,5 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3.269,99 | 39,5 | 1.291,64 | +49,08 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No | 2.000 | 64,5 | 1.290 | −270 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | 1.210,32 | 84,5 | 1.022,72 | +114,98 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 4.388,99 | 21,5 | 943,63 | −197,5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2.048,23 | 38,5 | 788,57 | +10,24 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1.097,69 | 71,8 | 787,59 | −4,47 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 611,35 | 91,5 | 559,39 | +64,19 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | 3.421,98 | 12,6 | 432,88 | −42,68 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 400 | 97,8 | 391,4 | +67,4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | 565,11 | 60,5 | 341,89 | +28,2 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 2.000 | 16,5 | 330 | +130 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 2.096,97 | 13,5 | 283,09 | +9,3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 4.000 | 6,5 | 260 | −100 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 600 | 40,5 | 243 | −21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 2.999,99 | 7,5 | 225 | −165 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?Yes | 997,34 | 15,5 | 154,59 | +55,35 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 604,19 | 24,5 | 148,03 | −141,98 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 3.517,53 | 2,9 | 102,01 | −73,87 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 778,14 | 10,5 | 81,7 | −151,74 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?No | 1.699,99 | 4,5 | 76,5 | −194,5 |
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