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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | 2,898.07 | 94.5 | 2,738.67 | +2,635.17 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | 3,223.32 | 79.5 | 2,562.54 | −110.11 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4,041.46 | 61.2 | 2,471.35 | +2,345.06 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 2,124.2 | 96.8 | 2,055.16 | +1,891.76 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | 2,168.53 | 92.5 | 2,005.89 | +2,005.89 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?No | 1,837.87 | 97.3 | 1,788.25 | +12.57 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | 1,881.66 | 91.2 | 1,715.13 | +1,656.33 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No | 1,845.58 | 86.5 | 1,596.43 | +23.1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 1,936.12 | 78.5 | 1,519.85 | +45.89 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 2,560.2 | 58.5 | 1,497.72 | +16.58 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | 2,177.94 | 62.5 | 1,361.21 | +1,280.55 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 1,391.86 | 95.5 | 1,329.22 | +1,298.3 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 1,312.61 | 100 | 1,311.95 | +1.97 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No | 1,388.76 | 93 | 1,291.55 | +189.76 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No | 1,361.33 | 90.5 | 1,232 | −6.76 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 2,853.8 | 42.3 | 1,207.16 | +1,175.1 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 7,117.08 | 15.6 | 1,106.71 | +852.53 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 3,378.54 | 32.4 | 1,096.34 | +990.76 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | 1,855.36 | 57.5 | 1,066.83 | −39.34 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | 2,438.33 | 41.5 | 1,011.91 | +229.31 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | 1,243.06 | 79.5 | 988.24 | +957.16 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | 965.35 | 100 | 964.87 | +138.71 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 1,107.53 | 85.5 | 946.94 | +41.53 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 3,792.17 | 24.5 | 929.08 | +170.65 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 1,885.8 | 47.5 | 895.75 | +828.41 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2,322.18 | 38.5 | 894.04 | +821.47 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 988.43 | 82.5 | 815.45 | +617.77 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 806.1 | 98 | 790.38 | +86.53 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2,341.67 | 33.4 | 782.12 | +708.94 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | 1,000.82 | 77.2 | 772.63 | +729.12 |
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