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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 5,990 | 91.5 | 5,480.85 | +789.26 |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No | 4,879.92 | 98 | 4,782.32 | +635.17 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | 4,733.71 | 95.2 | 4,506.49 | +1,730.94 |
| Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?No | 3,788.24 | 99.4 | 3,767.4 | +399.52 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 3,862.71 | 95.6 | 3,694.69 | +245.37 |
| Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | 3,183.16 | 98.1 | 3,122.68 | +2,367.02 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3,403 | 82 | 2,792.16 | +330.03 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No | 3,255.46 | 84 | 2,734.59 | +537.48 |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?No | 2,526.84 | 89.5 | 2,261.52 | +249.57 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?No | 2,356.54 | 94.9 | 2,236.35 | +253.52 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2,986.23 | 71.5 | 2,135.15 | +40.83 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?No | 2,006.38 | 94.5 | 1,896.03 | +398.39 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes | 8,115.83 | 23.4 | 1,895.05 | +1,619.2 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?No | 1,638.86 | 96 | 1,573.31 | +436.95 |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1,699.11 | 91 | 1,546.19 | +295.49 |
| Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?No | 1,355.56 | 99.2 | 1,344.04 | +241.42 |
| America.gov removed by October 31?No | 1,213.14 | 97.3 | 1,180.39 | +59.31 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?No | 1,187.65 | 94 | 1,116.98 | +233.02 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No | 1,210.6 | 88.5 | 1,071.39 | +137.63 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No | 1,079.59 | 97.5 | 1,052.6 | +449.11 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 1,996.07 | 50.5 | 1,008.01 | +263.64 |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?No | 1,161.98 | 85 | 987.68 | +171.2 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6,688.47 | 14.5 | 969.83 | −540.3 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | 1,105.14 | 85.5 | 944.9 | +223.18 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?No | 4,282.36 | 21.2 | 910 | +541.6 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 1,594.37 | 55.5 | 884.88 | +104.15 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | 1,452.68 | 55.5 | 806.24 | +12.01 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3,502.25 | 22.5 | 788.01 | +224.72 |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No | 823.78 | 89.5 | 737.28 | +99.38 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 1,397.02 | 52.5 | 733.44 | +55.11 |
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