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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 250,000 | 81.4 | 203,625 | +78,625 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | 174,000 | 87.5 | 152,250 | +65,250 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 250,110 | 18.6 | 46,395.4 | −78,659.6 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 174,000 | 12.5 | 21,750 | −65,250 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 16,576.07 | 86.4 | 14,321.72 | +1,534.68 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | 13,079.2 | 78.5 | 10,267.18 | +1,185.15 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9,982.49 | 99.4 | 9,927.58 | +2,416.35 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?No | 7,123.3 | 100 | 7,119.73 | +259.53 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 5,432.93 | 98.9 | 5,373.16 | −47.44 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5,333.05 | 81 | 4,319.77 | +1.77 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 5,567.71 | 70 | 3,897.39 | −73.78 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 13,837 | 27 | 3,735.99 | +113.67 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | 3,489.92 | 99.4 | 3,467.24 | +749.83 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | 14,792.27 | 21.5 | 3,180.34 | −735.99 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 6,438.86 | 47 | 3,026.26 | +1,436.34 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 4,566.56 | 65.5 | 2,991.09 | +1,267.02 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3,071.4 | 96.9 | 2,976.19 | +171.82 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | 2,679.3 | 99.6 | 2,667.24 | +113.19 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2,739.87 | 95.7 | 2,622.06 | +853.49 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 2,399.16 | 100 | 2,397.96 | +808.66 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 2,369.27 | 97.4 | 2,307.67 | +106.9 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 17,073.75 | 12.5 | 2,134.22 | −1,394.89 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 2,046.34 | 95 | 1,945.05 | −3.28 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 1,940 | 99.1 | 1,922.54 | +237.57 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 2,830.27 | 67.5 | 1,910.43 | +572.18 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | 1,914.51 | 98.8 | 1,892.5 | +881.68 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2,000 | 90.5 | 1,810 | +725 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 5,946.64 | 28.5 | 1,694.79 | +125.95 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 2,183.93 | 76.5 | 1,670.71 | +468.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2,497.44 | 65.5 | 1,635.82 | −631.84 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.