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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 250 000 | 83,8 | 209 625 | +84 625 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | 195 000 | 87,5 | 170 625 | +73 125 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 250 110 | 16,2 | 40 392,76 | −84 662,24 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 195 000 | 12,5 | 24 375 | −73 125 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 16 576,07 | 87,6 | 14 512,35 | +1 725,3 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | 13 079,2 | 78,5 | 10 267,18 | +1 185,15 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 7 175 | 99,6 | 7 142,72 | −12,97 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 8 139,73 | 68,5 | 5 575,71 | −142,38 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5 333,05 | 79,5 | 4 239,77 | −78,23 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 13 837 | 26 | 3 597,62 | −24,7 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | 3 489,92 | 99,5 | 3 472,47 | +755,07 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | 14 792,27 | 21,5 | 3 180,34 | −735,99 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 6 438,86 | 47,5 | 3 058,46 | +1 468,54 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 4 566,56 | 65,5 | 2 991,09 | +1 267,02 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3 071,4 | 96,8 | 2 974,65 | +170,29 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | 2 679,3 | 98,8 | 2 647,15 | +93,1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2 739,87 | 95,8 | 2 623,43 | +854,86 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 2 369,27 | 97,4 | 2 306,48 | +105,72 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 7 688,69 | 29,5 | 2 268,16 | +184,69 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2 970,98 | 74,5 | 2 213,38 | +1 492,37 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 2 850,21 | 73 | 2 080,65 | +1 080,88 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 17 073,75 | 11,5 | 1 963,48 | −1 565,63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 2 046,34 | 95,2 | 1 947,1 | −1,23 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | 1 914,51 | 99,4 | 1 903,98 | +893,16 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 2 830,27 | 66,5 | 1 882,13 | +543,88 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2 000 | 90,5 | 1 810 | +725 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 2 183,93 | 82 | 1 790,82 | +588,62 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 7 519,7 | 22 | 1 654,33 | +440,97 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2 497,44 | 65,5 | 1 635,82 | −631,84 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No | 1 655,37 | 97,4 | 1 612,33 | +380,31 |
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