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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 250.000 | 83,8 | 209.625 | +84.625 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | 195.000 | 87,5 | 170.625 | +73.125 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 250.110 | 16,2 | 40.392,76 | −84.662,24 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 195.000 | 12,5 | 24.375 | −73.125 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 16.576,07 | 87,6 | 14.520,63 | +1.733,59 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | 13.079,2 | 78,5 | 10.267,18 | +1.185,15 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 8.146,19 | 99,6 | 8.109,53 | −14,41 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 9.110,93 | 68,5 | 6.240,99 | −147,2 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5.333,05 | 75,5 | 4.026,45 | −291,55 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 13.837 | 28,5 | 3.943,55 | +321,23 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | 3.489,92 | 99,4 | 3.470,73 | +753,32 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | 14.792,27 | 21,5 | 3.180,34 | −735,99 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 6.438,86 | 47,5 | 3.058,46 | +1.468,54 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.071,4 | 96,8 | 2.974,65 | +170,29 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 4.566,56 | 63,5 | 2.899,76 | +1.175,69 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | 2.679,3 | 98,8 | 2.647,15 | +93,1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2.739,87 | 95,5 | 2.616,58 | +848,01 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 8.659,92 | 29,5 | 2.554,68 | +189,57 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 2.369,27 | 97,4 | 2.307,67 | +106,9 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2.920,98 | 74 | 2.161,53 | +1.452,65 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 2.850,21 | 73,5 | 2.094,9 | +1.095,13 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 17.073,75 | 11,5 | 1.963,48 | −1.565,63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 2.046,34 | 95,2 | 1.947,1 | −1,23 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | 1.914,51 | 99,4 | 1.903,98 | +893,16 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 2.830,27 | 64,5 | 1.825,53 | +487,28 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 2.183,93 | 83 | 1.812,66 | +610,46 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2.000 | 90,5 | 1.810 | +725 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 7.519,7 | 22,5 | 1.691,93 | +478,57 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2.497,44 | 66,5 | 1.660,8 | −606,87 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No | 1.655,37 | 97,4 | 1.611,5 | +379,48 |
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