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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 250.000 | 83,8 | 209.625 | +84.625 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | 185.000 | 87,5 | 161.875 | +69.375 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 250.110 | 16,2 | 40.392,76 | −84.662,24 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 185.000 | 12,5 | 23.125 | −69.375 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 16.576,07 | 87,4 | 14.495,77 | +1.708,73 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | 13.079,2 | 78,5 | 10.267,18 | +1.185,15 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9.982,49 | 100 | 9.977,5 | +2.466,26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6.592,91 | 99,5 | 6.559,95 | −15,38 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 7.557,65 | 68,5 | 5.176,99 | −138,31 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5.333,05 | 79 | 4.213,11 | −104,89 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 13.837 | 26 | 3.597,62 | −24,7 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | 3.489,92 | 99,4 | 3.467,24 | +749,83 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | 14.792,27 | 21,5 | 3.180,34 | −735,99 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 6.438,86 | 47,5 | 3.058,46 | +1.468,54 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 4.566,56 | 65,5 | 2.991,09 | +1.267,02 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.071,4 | 96,8 | 2.974,65 | +170,29 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | 2.679,3 | 98,8 | 2.645,81 | +91,76 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2.739,87 | 95,6 | 2.620,69 | +852,12 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 2.369,27 | 97,4 | 2.308,85 | +108,09 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 3.039,42 | 74,5 | 2.264,37 | +1.526,75 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 7.106,59 | 30,5 | 2.167,51 | +252,83 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 17.073,75 | 12,5 | 2.134,22 | −1.394,89 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 2.046,34 | 95,1 | 1.946,07 | −2,25 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 1.940 | 99,8 | 1.935,15 | +250,18 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | 1.914,51 | 99,4 | 1.903,98 | +893,16 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 2.830,27 | 66,5 | 1.882,13 | +543,88 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 2.493,4 | 74,5 | 1.857,58 | +1.123,58 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2.000 | 90,5 | 1.810 | +725 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | 2.183,93 | 82,5 | 1.801,74 | +599,54 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 2.497,44 | 65,5 | 1.635,82 | −631,84 |
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