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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 112.433,14 | 99,8 | 112.264,49 | +18.663,34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 143.355,03 | 71,5 | 102.498,85 | +15.002,82 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 74.818,35 | 99,6 | 74.481,66 | +17.364,74 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 72.264,55 | 98,2 | 70.927,66 | +20.192,31 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 71.609,18 | 96,1 | 68.816,42 | +43.397,36 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 147.476 | 40,8 | 60.243,95 | +11.024,27 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 179.326,54 | 31,5 | 56.487,86 | +21.563,66 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 128.916,98 | 40 | 51.502,33 | −27.667,13 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 151.275,42 | 31,6 | 47.727,4 | +22.691,65 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 78.673,65 | 50,5 | 39.730,19 | +16,99 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 37.981,59 | 99,8 | 37.886,63 | +6.908,01 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 44.336 | 83 | 36.798,88 | +3.139,7 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | 38.205,05 | 90,5 | 34.575,57 | +900,91 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 79.024,28 | 40,5 | 32.004,83 | −15.773,3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 37.565,3 | 79,5 | 29.864,42 | +4.451,23 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | 40.289,03 | 70,5 | 28.403,77 | +3.636,65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 47.126,06 | 58,5 | 27.568,74 | −520,26 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 67.967,64 | 40,5 | 27.526,89 | −2.136,48 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 40.627,75 | 62,5 | 25.392,34 | +4.296,06 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 38.941,85 | 58,5 | 22.780,98 | −495,77 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | 27.528,24 | 80,5 | 22.160,23 | +3.900,78 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 19.895,38 | 89,5 | 17.806,36 | +2.421,65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 39.820,01 | 39,5 | 15.728,9 | −1.738,06 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 15.565,55 | 99,6 | 15.503,28 | +1.961,15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 41.164,87 | 37,5 | 15.436,83 | +880,27 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No | 15.285,18 | 100 | 15.277,54 | +1.919,38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 15.493,52 | 95,7 | 14.827,3 | +2.742,74 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 18.048,4 | 79 | 14.258,23 | +11.874,11 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 14.384,14 | 96 | 13.815,97 | +89,08 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 40.360,92 | 33 | 13.319,1 | +2.838,36 |
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