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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 108 802,97 | 99,8 | 108 639,77 | +18 060,75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 143 355,03 | 71,5 | 102 498,85 | +15 002,82 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 74 804,35 | 99,6 | 74 542,54 | +17 436,3 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 72 264,55 | 98,2 | 70 927,66 | +20 192,31 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 71 347,18 | 96,1 | 68 564,64 | +43 238,58 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 147 476 | 40,9 | 60 317,68 | +11 098,01 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 179 326,54 | 30,5 | 54 694,59 | +19 770,39 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 128 916,98 | 40 | 51 502,33 | −27 667,13 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 151 275,42 | 29,2 | 44 248,06 | +19 212,32 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 78 673,65 | 50,5 | 39 730,19 | +16,99 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 37 981,59 | 99,8 | 37 924,61 | +6 946 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 44 336 | 83 | 36 798,88 | +3 139,7 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | 38 205,05 | 90,5 | 34 575,57 | +900,91 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 79 024,28 | 40,5 | 32 004,83 | −15 773,3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 37 565,3 | 79,5 | 29 864,42 | +4 451,23 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | 40 289,03 | 70,5 | 28 403,77 | +3 636,65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 47 126,06 | 58,5 | 27 568,74 | −520,26 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 67 967,64 | 40,5 | 27 526,89 | −2 136,48 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 40 627,75 | 62,5 | 25 392,34 | +4 296,06 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 38 941,85 | 58,5 | 22 780,98 | −495,77 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | 27 528,24 | 80,5 | 22 160,23 | +3 900,78 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 19 895,38 | 89,5 | 17 806,36 | +2 421,65 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 23 028,32 | 77 | 17 731,81 | +11 513,17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 39 820,01 | 39,5 | 15 728,9 | −1 738,06 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 15 565,55 | 99,6 | 15 503,28 | +1 961,15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 41 164,87 | 37,5 | 15 436,83 | +880,27 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No | 15 285,18 | 99,2 | 15 170,54 | +1 812,38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 15 493,52 | 95,7 | 14 827,3 | +2 742,74 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 45 655,88 | 31,5 | 14 381,6 | +2 215,97 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 14 384,14 | 97,2 | 13 981,39 | +254,5 |
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