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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 150.667,03 | 71,5 | 107.726,93 | +15.039,43 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 92.433,17 | 100 | 92.386,95 | +15.435,88 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 74.804,35 | 99,6 | 74.542,54 | +17.436,3 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 72.217,67 | 97,7 | 70.556,67 | +19.854,23 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 71.347,18 | 96,1 | 68.564,64 | +43.238,58 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 147.476 | 40,1 | 59.137,88 | +9.918,2 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 179.326,54 | 30,5 | 54.694,59 | +19.770,39 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 128.916,98 | 40,6 | 52.275,83 | −26.893,63 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 151.275,42 | 29,2 | 44.248,06 | +19.212,32 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 78.673,65 | 50,5 | 39.730,19 | +16,99 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 37.981,59 | 99,8 | 37.924,61 | +6.946 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 44.336 | 82,5 | 36.577,2 | +2.918,02 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | 38.205,05 | 90,5 | 34.575,57 | +900,91 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 79.024,28 | 40,5 | 32.004,83 | −15.773,3 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | 40.289,03 | 70,5 | 28.403,77 | +3.636,65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 47.126,06 | 58,5 | 27.568,74 | −520,26 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 67.967,64 | 40,5 | 27.526,89 | −2.136,48 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 40.627,75 | 62,5 | 25.392,34 | +4.296,06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 29.777,3 | 80,5 | 23.970,73 | +3.826,17 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 38.941,85 | 58,5 | 22.780,98 | −495,77 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | 27.263,29 | 80,5 | 21.946,95 | +3.863,24 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 20.715,45 | 95,6 | 19.793,61 | −11,31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 19.895,38 | 89,5 | 17.806,36 | +2.421,65 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 23.028,32 | 74,5 | 17.156,1 | +10.937,46 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 39.820,01 | 39,5 | 15.728,9 | −1.738,06 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 15.565,55 | 99,4 | 15.472,15 | +1.930,02 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 41.164,87 | 37,5 | 15.436,83 | +880,27 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 49.857,57 | 30,5 | 15.206,56 | +1.738,49 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No | 15.285,18 | 99,2 | 15.170,54 | +1.812,38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 15.493,52 | 95,6 | 14.819,56 | +2.734,99 |
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