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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 3,739 | 97 | 3,624.96 | +236.84 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 2,596.11 | 99.2 | 2,576.64 | +1,613.87 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 2,605 | 96.6 | 2,515.13 | +152.39 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 2,450.43 | 99.6 | 2,439.41 | +256.45 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | 2,475.64 | 96.3 | 2,384.04 | +42.31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No | 2,356.55 | 100 | 2,355.37 | +1,914.7 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 2,334.34 | 99.6 | 2,326.17 | +286.64 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | 2,305 | 97.4 | 2,246.22 | +28.81 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?No | 2,224.01 | 100 | 2,222.9 | +105.64 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 2,297.07 | 95.7 | 2,198.3 | +935.53 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No | 2,483 | 88.5 | 2,197.45 | +418.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No | 2,057.5 | 100 | 2,056.47 | +46.74 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 1,913 | 89.5 | 1,712.13 | +181.73 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No | 1,709.09 | 100 | 1,708.23 | +144.01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 1,507.15 | 100 | 1,506.4 | +72.74 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | 1,572.28 | 95.5 | 1,501.52 | +223.1 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 2,149.15 | 69.5 | 1,493.66 | +926.27 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1,401.8 | 99 | 1,388.48 | +20.33 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 1,375.4 | 99.8 | 1,371.96 | +61.11 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | 1,405.11 | 96.8 | 1,360.15 | +149.64 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 1,325.92 | 99.4 | 1,317.3 | +42.21 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | 1,289.77 | 99.5 | 1,283.32 | +92.59 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | 1,282.96 | 100 | 1,282.32 | +47.4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | 1,280.07 | 100 | 1,279.43 | +59.65 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | 1,320 | 95.5 | 1,260.6 | +864.6 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No | 1,307.38 | 95.8 | 1,252.47 | +73.21 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1,459 | 83.5 | 1,218.27 | +94.84 |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?No | 1,235.89 | 98.4 | 1,216.11 | +66.46 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1,236.15 | 98.2 | 1,214.51 | +12.19 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 1,557 | 77.5 | 1,206.67 | +54.49 |
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