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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 112,433.14 | 99.6 | 111,927.19 | +18,326.04 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 136,882.03 | 70.5 | 96,501.83 | +13,536.67 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 73,014.51 | 98.8 | 72,138.34 | +20,876.45 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 72,898.8 | 96.2 | 70,092.19 | +44,215.36 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 74,818.35 | 93 | 69,581.06 | +12,464.14 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 147,476 | 40.7 | 60,022.73 | +10,803.06 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 174,104.54 | 29 | 50,490.32 | +17,236.34 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 121,655.01 | 40.6 | 49,452.76 | −26,768.85 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 144,954.44 | 30.1 | 43,631.29 | +20,680.28 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 78,673.65 | 51 | 40,123.56 | +410.36 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 37,981.59 | 99.8 | 37,886.63 | +6,908.01 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 44,336 | 83 | 36,798.88 | +3,139.7 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | 38,205.05 | 90.5 | 34,575.57 | +900.91 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 73,241.28 | 41.5 | 30,395.13 | −15,011.98 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 37,565.3 | 79.5 | 29,864.42 | +4,451.23 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | 40,289.03 | 70 | 28,202.32 | +3,435.2 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 47,126.06 | 58.5 | 27,568.74 | −520.26 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 67,967.64 | 40.5 | 27,526.89 | −2,136.48 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 40,627.75 | 64.5 | 26,204.9 | +5,108.61 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 38,941.85 | 58.5 | 22,780.98 | −495.77 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | 27,528.24 | 80.5 | 22,160.23 | +3,900.78 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 19,895.38 | 89.5 | 17,806.36 | +2,421.65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 39,820.01 | 39.5 | 15,728.9 | −1,738.06 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 41,164.87 | 37.5 | 15,436.83 | +880.27 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 15,565.55 | 99 | 15,417.67 | +1,875.54 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No | 15,285.18 | 99 | 15,132.33 | +1,774.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 15,493.52 | 95.7 | 14,827.3 | +2,742.74 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | 23,107.92 | 57 | 13,159.96 | +403.63 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 52,250.78 | 25.1 | 13,114.95 | +1,167.17 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 15,141 | 83.5 | 12,642.74 | −194.02 |
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